Why high insulin precedes type 2 diabetes


Joseph Kraft is a medical doctor who measured over 14,000 oral glucose tolerance tests in his lifetime. This is a standard test to measure the blood glucose response to a standardized amount of glucose over 2 hours. The difference is that he measured over 5 hours and included blood insulin levels. A summary of his work is here and Prof Grant also reviews it nicely here.

kraft-curves-cummins-1024x658What Dr. Kraft had discovered is that you can make the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes much earlier than the standard OGTT by measuring insulin. The OGTT itself is meant diagnose T2D earlier than blood glucose by measuring the glucose response to a 75 g load of glucose.

But people with normal OGTT may still have an abnormal insulin response. Those people who respond with excessive secretion of insulin to 75 g of glucose are at very high risk of eventually developing T2D as well. So the insulin response is even earlier, which means you can diagnose ‘diabetes in situ’, which means incipient diabetes.

Incipient diabetes

Let’s think about this for a second. This makes a lot of sense. If you simply wait until blood glucose is elevated, then you have T2D, no question. But if you have normal blood sugars, then you may still be at risk of diabetes (pre-diabetes). So, we give a big load of glucose and see if the body is able to handle it. If this is negative as well, this does not yet mean everything is normal.

If the body responds by very high secretion of insulin, this will force the blood glucose into the cell and keep the blood glucose normal. But this is not normal. It’s like the trained athlete who can easily run 10K in 1 hour and the untrained athlete who must dig deep and use all his effort to do so. Those people who need to produce prodigious amounts of insulin to force the glucose back to normal are at high risk. This makes perfect physiologic sense. But there’s a much deeper implication to this:


normalvsinsulinresistanceThis is very important. Consider our two different paradigms of insulin resistance – the ‘internal starvation’ model and the ‘overflow’ model.

In the standard ‘internal starvation’ model, some unknown thing (inflammation, oxidative stress etc.) causes IR, which blocks glucose from entering the cell. It looks like this:

IR –> hyperglycemia –> hyperinsulinemia

This is likely incorrect as a universal mechanism because the hyperglycaemia PRECEDES the hyperinsulinemia. According to the this theory, we still need to find the mysterious boogeyman that causes IR. There are those, for example that claim dietary fat causes IR, others say vegetable oil, inflammation, oxidative stress, genes etc. But it simply is not correct because the high insulin comes first. So therefore the high blood glucose cannot completely CAUSE the high insulin.

But according to the ‘overflow’ model, things look like this.

Too much sugar –> hyperinsulinemia –> fatty liver and IR –> hyperglycaemia

The implication of Krafts pioneering work is this – The ‘Internal Starvation’ paradigm is completely backwards. Think about this. If we think that T2D is the result of internal starvation, would we expect internal starvation to look like it does? (Large waist, obesity, fatty liver) What part of that looks like internal starvation of cells? This means that the high insulin causes the high blood glucose (symptom of the disease). Therefore, the proper treatment of T2D is to LOWER INSULIN. How? Drugs don’t do this, in general. It would require dietary changes – LCHF and Intermittent Fasting.

Overflow paradigm

Picture a subway train in the middle of rush hour. Each train stops at a station and upon getting the ‘all clear’ signal, opens its doors. Some passengers leave but most go into the train on their way to or from work. All the passengers go into the train without problems and the platform is empty as the train pulls out.

Is this internal starvation?

Is this internal starvation?

A cell works in an analogous method. When insulin gives the proper signal, the gates open and glucose enters the cell in an orderly fashion without much difficulty. The cell is like the subway train, and the passengers are like the glucose molecules.

When the cell is insulin resistant, insulin signals the cell to open the doors, but no glucose enters. Glucose accumulates in the blood, unable to get inside the cell. In our train analogy, the train pulls into the station, receives the signal to open the doors, but no passengers enter the train. As the train pulls out, many passengers are left on the platform, unable to enter the train.

Why does this happen?

There are several possibilities. Under the ‘lock and key’ paradigm, the interaction of insulin with its receptor fails to fully open the gate. This leaves glucose outside in the blood while the cell experiences internal starvation. In the train analogy, the conductor’s signal fails to open the subway doors fully so passengers are unable to pass through. They are left outside on the platform, while the inside of the train is relatively empty.

But that’s not the sole possibility. What happens if the train is not empty, but already jam-packed full of passengers from the previous stop? Passengers are crowded and waiting on the platform. The conductor gives the signal to open the door, but passengers cannot enter. The train is already full, so passengers are left waiting on the platform. Not because the door failed to open, but because the train is already overflowing. From the outside, it appears that passengers are not able to enter the train when the door opens.

The same situation might happen in the cell, particularly the liver. If the cell is already jam-packed full of glucose, then more cannot enter despite the fact that insulin has opened the gate. From the outside, we can only say that the cell is ‘resistant’ to insulin’s urging to move glucose inside. But this is potentially an overflow phenomenon.

So how do we go about this?

In the train analogy, what can you do to pack more people into the train? One solution is simply to hire “subway pushers” to shove people into the trains. This was implemented in New York City in the 1920’s. While these practices died out in North America, they still exist in Japan, where they are called “passenger arrangement staff”.

japanesesubway2Insulin is the body’s “subway pusher”, shoving glucose into the cell, no matter the consequences. As glucose is left outside the cell, in the blood, the body produces more insulin for reinforcement. This extra insulin helps push more glucose into the cell, but it becomes ever harder to put more and more glucose inside. In this case, insulin resistance causes compensatory hyperinsulinemia. But what was the initial cause? Hyperinsulinemia. It’s a vicious cycle. Hyperinsulinemia leads to insulin resistance, which leads back to more hyperinsulinemia.

Let’s think about the liver cell. At birth the liver is empty of glucose. When we eat, glucose enters the liver cell. When we don’t eat, or fast, glucose leaves. With persistently high insulin levels, glucose keeps entering the liver cell. Over decades, glucose slowly fills the cell until it is now overflowing like the congested subway train. When the gate opens for glucose to enter, it is unable to do so. The cell is now insulin resistant. Hyperinsulinemia creates the insulin resistance.

To compensate, insulin levels increase and like the Japanese Subway Pushers, tries to push more glucose into the cell by force. The insulin resistance creates hyperinsulinemia, the very thing that created it. This works, but only for a short while, because eventually there is no more room for the glucose. The vicious cycle goes round and round, worsening with each iteration.

The cell is not in a state of ‘internal starvation’, but rather, it is overflowing with glucose. As it spills out of the cell, blood glucose levels increase. Insulin’s action on glucose is being resisted. But what happens to insulin’s other major job to increase new fat production or DNL? If the cell is truly resistant to insulin, DNL should decrease.

Is there a better way?

But the cell is overfilled with glucose, not empty, so there is no reduction of DNL. Instead, the cell is producing as much new fat as possible to relieve the internal congestion. The action of insulin to increase DNL is not being resisted, but enhanced. This paradigm perfectly explains the central paradox.

On the one hand, the cell is resistant to insulin’s effect on glucose. On the other, insulin’s effect on DNL is enhanced. This happens in the liver cell, with the same level of insulin and the same insulin receptors. The paradox has been resolved by understanding this new paradigm of insulin resistance. The cell is not in a state of ‘internal starvation’, but rather a ‘glucose overload’ one.

As the liver ramps up DNL to deal with its internal congestion, more new fat is created than can be exported. Fat backs up in the liver, an organ not designed for fat storage. This disease of fatty liver is intimately related to the overflow problem of insulin resistance.

Understanding this new paradigm is critical. According to the old ‘lock and key’ paradigm, the treatment of T2D involved hiring more subway pushers to shove even more passengers into the crowded train. This is analogous to giving more insulin to patients, even though we already know that insulin is too high. If we understand the ‘overflow’ paradigm, we see that the logical treatment of type 2 diabetes is to empty out the train. How? LCHF diets, intermittent fasting. In other words, type 2 diabetes is essentially just a disease of too much sugar in the body. The only logical treatments, therefore are to:

  1. Stop putting sugar in (LCHF)
  2. Burn the sugar off (Intermittent Fasting)

That’s all you need to know to reverse type 2 diabetes.

Jason Fung


How to reverse your diabetes, type 2

Popular videos about type 2 diabetes

    The essential problem with type 2 diabetes
    Diet & diabetes – how to normalize your blood sugar
  • Why low-fat diets don't work — Dr. Jason Fung's diabetes course
  • Part 7 of Dr. Jason Fung's diabetes course
  • Insulin toxicity — Dr. Jason Fung's diabetes course
  • How to reverse type 2 diabetes

Earlier with Dr. Jason Fung

Fasting myths

Obesity – solving the two-compartment problem

Why fasting is more effective than calorie counting

Fasting and cholesterol

The calorie debacle

Fasting and growth hormone

The complete guide to fasting is finally available!

How does fasting affect your brain?

How to renew your body: Fasting and autophagy

Complications of diabetes – a disease affecting all organs

How much protein should you eat?

The common currency in our bodies is not calories – guess what it is?

More with Dr. Fung

Dr. Fung has his own blog at intensivedietarymanagement.com. He is also active on Twitter.

His book The Obesity Code is available on Amazon.

The Obesity Code

His new book, The Complete Guide to Fasting is also available on Amazon.


One comment

  1. 1 comment removed
  2. Eddie
    This article reflects the opinions of other practitioners recommending LCHF diet as a means to reverse insulin sensitivity. I have been observing such a diet since 2016, and my numbers have been going in the opposite direction. Last readings were fasting insulin 12.1 uIU/mL, and fasting glucose 101 mg/dL. Growth hormone is at the bottom of the range (0.1) and IGF-1 is 141. Would you have any idea why this happens? Is this LADA?

Leave a reply

Reply to comment #0 by

Older posts